Abstract
The design of bio-sequences for biosensing and therapeutics is a challenging multi-step search and optimization task. In principle, computational modeling may speed up the design process by virtual screening of sequences based on their binding affinities to target molecules. However, in practice, existing machine-learned models trained to predict binding affinities lack the flexibility with respect to reaction conditions, and molecular dynamics simulations that can incorporate reaction conditions suffer from high computational costs. Here, we describe a computational approach called DeltaGzip that evaluates the free energy of binding in biopolymer-ligand complexes from ultra-short equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations. The entropy of binding is evaluated using the Kolmogorov complexity definition of entropy and approximated using a lossless compression algorithm, Gzip. We benchmark the method on a well-studied dataset of protein-ligand complexes comparing the predictions of DeltaGzip to the free energies of binding obtained using the Jarzynski equality and experimental measurements.